VEGAS BET OF THE NIGHT SATURDAY NCAAF WEEK 2

Updated: Sep 11

WE ARE ON A HOT STREAK! LET'S KEEP IT GOING


EARLY GAME


Washington State 17 at Wisconsin 14

Wisconsin -17 / -1110 / O/U 49

Since 2018 Wisconsin is 12-5 at home losing to (BYU, MINN, INDIANA, PENN ST AND MICH) all Big Ten Teams. Wisconsin has played only four Top 50 FBS teams outside the Big Ten Conference since 2018 (Army, BYU, Notre Dame and USF) They lost to BYU and Notre Dame and beat USF and Army (barely 14-7). Wisconsin did beat Arizona State in the Las Vegas Bowl last year. In fact, in post season play, Wisconsin is 7-1 since 2015 only losing to Oregon 27-28 in the rose Bowl in 2020. Saturday they play Washington State and it’s not a bowl game. WSU has played 17 FBS teams on the road since 2018 and are 11-6.


Avg Score Avg Allow Avg Totals

Wisconsin HOME 29.0 18.0 47.0

Washington State ROAD 30.0 29.0 59.0 *2018-2021

Washington State ROAD 26.4 26.6 59.0 *2020-2021


From 2020 to 2021 after Head Coach Mike Leach left to go to Mississippi State it was the Nick Rolovich show and his record is 4-3. According to the Whitlock Ratings, Wisconsin is ranked 13 and Washington State 60.


Wisconsin has not beat any FBS team outside the Big Ten Conference by more than -17 at Home. Wisconsin should win AND the Under 47 looks very good


TAKE: UNDER 49 WINNER - WINNER (+17)

PLACE very little $$$ on +17 Washington State. Wisconsin covering the spread is in doubt



LATE GAME


Oregon State 35 @ Fresno State 32

Fresno State -1 / ML -125 / O/U 59


All but one game was on the road against top 30 competition. This year Fresno has a returning Senior QB Jake Haener who was 9th in passing in the nation last year and is a bonafide Heisman Trophy Award candidate. Fresno is going against Oregon State.


FRESNO STATE VS TOP 30

Nov 6, 2021 BOISE 40 FRES 14 L *HOME

Oct 30, 2021 SD.ST 20 FRES 30 W

Sep 18, 2021 UCLA 37 FRES 40 W

Sep 4, 2021 OREG 31 FRES 24 L

Nov 15, 2019 SD.ST 17 FRES 7 L


Take a good look, very impressive seven wins in a row AND none against top 60 competition or a top rated QB AND ALL AT HOME


OREGON STATE ALL GAMES AT HOME

Sep 3, 2022 BOISE 17 ORGST 34 W

Nov 20, 2021 ARZST10 ORGST 24 W

Nov 13, 2021 STAN 14 ORGST 35 W

Oct 23, 2021 UTAH 34 ORGST 42 W

Oct 2, 2021 WASH 24 ORGST 27 W

Sep 18, 2021 IDAHO 0 ORGST 42 W

Sep 11, 2021 HAW 27 ORGST 45 W


Oregon State is 4-15 on the road since 2018. Against TOP 30 They score on average 29, allow 38 and combine for 67 points, but most importantly they are 2-6 against good competion. The Over 59 points is the play. However, based on the data, Fresno State has a good chance (70%) to win, so the risk here is to take the -1 on Fresno State.


TAKE: OVER 59 POINTS WINNER!!





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