VEGAS BET OF THE NIGHT SATURDAY 10/8
After a great Friday, here comes Saturday!
Purdue at Maryland
Maryland -3.0 / -145 / 59
Defensively, Purdue allows 214 yards per game in the air (54th FBS) and 316 yards overall (27th FBS). Offensively, they are averaging 32.8 points per game and 286.8 yards passing yards per game. Despite these numbers, Purdue lost at home to Penn State 35-31, barely beat FAU 28-26 at home, went on the road to Syracuse and lost 32-29 (East Coast). And against Minnesota it was 10-10 in the 3rd quarter before they pulled away thanks to Minnesota's six turnovers. So, upsetting Minnesota 20-10 on the road last week as 9-point dogs seems big, but was it? . Maryland is coming off a 27-13 home win over Michigan State and is 1-1 in the Big Ten East. Maryland is 4-1 overall this season. Maryland scheduled cream puffs at home in the first two games of the season. They beat Buffalo 31-10, then Charlotte 56-21, then they faced SMU at home and won 34-27. They went on the road to Michigan and played extremely tough, losing 34-27 as a 17-point road dogs. On October 1, they were at home and beat the Michigan State Spartans by 14 points (27-13) AND held MSU to no points in the second half. Maryland QB, Taulia Tagovailoa, threw for 314 yards with one TD and also ran for a TD. Tagovailoa went 32 of 41 and moved ahead of Boomer Esiason for third place on Maryland's career list in yards passing. Offensively, Maryland ranks 23rd FBS in total offense (478.4ypg) and 18th FBS in passing yards per game (175ypg)
Since 2018 vs Big 10 Opponents
Score Allow Pt Dif Totals
Purdue Road (7-7) 25.3 27.3 -2 52.7
Maryland Home (6-9) 27.2 35.7 -8.5 62.9
FBS & FCS
NCAA Rankings Total Off Pass Rush Team Defense
PURDUE 74th 37th 151st 49th
MARYLAND 29th 27th 90th 146th
TAKE: -145 Money Line Maryland
TCU at Kansas
Kansas 7+ / 215+ / 68.5
TCU is ranked 21st in the FBS in passing offense with 297.8 yards per game while they are 6th in rushing offense with 251.8 yards per contest. However, TCU is 4th overall Offense 549 YPG. QB Max Duggan is 70 of 94 passing for 997 yards with 11 touchdowns and NO INT’s and 149 yards and 2 TD’s on the ground.
DEFENSIVE RANK: 114th
The Kansas Jayhawks are 105th in the nation in passing offense with 201.4 yards per contest through the air while they are 17th in rushing offense with 218.6 yards per game on the ground. Overall Kansas stands is 83rd in overall Offense 421 YPG QB Jalon Daniels is 73 of 107 passing for 983 yards with 11 touchdowns 1 INT
DEFENSIVE RANK: 136th
Kansas Home
Date ROAD Score Home Score Result Totals
Oct 1, 2022 IOWA ST 11 KANSAS 14 W 25
Sep 24, 2022 DUKE 27 KANSAS 35 W 62
Nov 27, 2021 WEST VA 34 KANSAS 28 L 62
Averages 24.0 25.7 49.7
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TCU Road
Date ROAD Score Home Score Result Totals
Sep 24, 2022 TCU 42 SMU 34 W 76
Sep 2, 2022 TCU 38 COLORADO 13 W 51
Nov 26, 2021 TCU 14 IOWA STATE 48 L 62
Nov 13, 2021 TCU 17 OKLA ST 63 L 80
Averages 27.8 39.5 67.3
Who did TCU play on the road and who did Kansas play at home? I think this tells a story on how things play out. Both teams have a common Opponent Iowa State. Kansas played a strong defensive game and TCU was blown out by Iowa State. TCU went on the road and played weak opponents, Colorado 0-5, SMU 2-3. Kansas played average teams Duke 4-1 and West Virginia 2-3 When a home team is playing an evenly matched team statistically, take the points. In this case Kansas gets points.
TAKE: +7 KANSAS
Buffalo at Bowling Green
Buffalo -1.5 / -120 / 54.5
In the last five meetings (HM & RD) Bowling Green (BG) is 1-4 against Buffalo.with BG’s only win coming last year (56-44) at Buffalo. Buffalo has put up 40-points against BG consistently and averages 44 points per game. Expected an average of 24 points from BG.
Since 2018
Buffalo is 8-6 on the road against Mid-American Conference opponents
Bowling Green is 2-11 at home against Mid-American Conference opponents
Since 2018 vs MAC Score Allow Pt Dif Totals
Buffalo Road 29.4 28.4 -1 57.9
Bowling Green Home 24.8 39.3 15.5+ 64.1
FBS & FCS
NCAA Rankings Total Off Pass Rush Team Defense
BUFFALO 147th 102nd 28th 189th
BOWLING GREEN 184th 137th 27th 244th
Buffalo & Bowling Green have no rusher in the NCAA TOP 250.
Bowling Green QB Matt McDonald is ranked 128th 234 passing YPG and 57% compilations
Buffalo’s QB Cole Snyder is ranked 64th 242 passing YPG and 60% compilations
TAKE: OVER 54.5
Liberty at UMass
Liberty -24.5 / -3500 / 49.5
UMass Amherst says the timing is sheer coincidence. But the fact that the athletic department’s first “Pride Day'' will take place when the Liberty University football team is in town on October 8 is receiving some scrutiny. Liberty is the Jerry Falwell-founded Christian school in Lynchburg, Va., that explicitly prohibits and imposes stiff punishments for statements and behaviors associated with LGBTQ+ lifestyles Since 2018 UMass is 4-9 at home vs FBS competition with wins coming over UConn, Akron, Charlotte and Liberty 62-59 Liberty comes into this matchup with UMass (1-4) just a point away from being unbeaten this season. The Flames are 4-1. Liberty lost 37-36 to Wake Forest on the road. The Flames have defeated Old Dominion, Akron, UAB, and Southern Mississippi this year. Offensively, Liberty averages 412.2 total yards per game, 216.2 passing yards per game, and 196.0 rushing yards. The rushing mark ranks 28th overall in the FBS.
UMass Minutemen rank among the bottom of the FBS in several offensive categories. They average 249.6 yards from scrimmage per contest (128th), 67.4 passing yards per game (130th), and 10.6 points per game (131st). Since 2018 against FBS competition at home UMass on average scores 30 allows 43 and has totals average 73.
Since 2018 vs FBS Score Allow Totals Record
UMass Road 14.1 48.0 62.1 1-21
Umass Home 28.9 43.7 72.6 4-9
Liberty Road 28.8 32.7 61.6 10-13
Liberty Home 33.3 20.4 53.7 18-4
TAKE: UMASS +25 TAKE: OVER 49.5
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