VEGAS BET OF THE NIGHT NFL THURSDAY

Updated: Sep 16

How about some over under action!


KANSAS CITY 27 VS SAN DIEGO 24. OPPS LA CHARGERS!

Since 2018, these two teams (Road or Home) average a combined 54.2 points with a standard deviation of +/- 12.3 points. Since 2018, the Chargers score on average 25 points, allow 25.4 and combine for 51 points on the road. Kansas City scores on average 26 points, allows 21 and has combined average of 47.5 with a standard deviation of +/- 13.4 points at home. When only both teams play (HM & RD), we get an average of 54 points and a standard deviation of +/- 8.7 points.


To put this in perspective, let’s look at the table below. Tonight’s OU is set at 54

LOW AVG HIGH

Kansas City Home 33.2 46.6 60.0

Chargers Road 38.7 51.0 63.3

LINE--------------------------------------------------------------------------54--------------------------

Both Teams against each other (HM & RD) 45.5 54.2 62.7

Both Teams against each other (At KC) 52.4 55.5 58.6


Here is the big difference, when the two teams play each other only at KC the average rises to 55.5 with a tight STD of 3.1. What this means is, there is more room over the line to get THE OVER than trying to hit the under.


TAKE: OVER LOSS (51)

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