VEGAS BET OF THE NIGHT FRIDAY
Rough few posts, we get back on track with a triple bill winner
Colorado State at Nevada
Nevada -3 / -175 / 45.5
Since 2018 Nevada is 10-5 at home vs Mountain West Conference Opponents. They have lost to; Fresno State, Boise State, Hawaii, UNLV and Air Force. Nevada has won the last two games vs Colorado State (HM & RD) in 2021 Nevada won 52-10 and in 2019 they won 49-10. The last time Nevada lost to Colorado State was 2017, 44-42. Currently, Colorado State has lost 10-games in a row and 9 to FBS schools. Colorado States Mountain West Conference record since 2018 is 4-11 (2-wins over New Mexico and wins vs Fresno State and San Jose State)
Mountain West Conf Stats since 2018
Averages Score Allow Pt Diff Totals
Nevada 31.0 26.8 +4.2 57.9
Colo State 25.5 33.2 -7.7 58.7
Since 2018
Averages Score Allow Pt Diff Totals
Nevada (HM) 35.2 26.4 8.4+ 61.6
Colo State (RD) 22.7 34.2 -11.5 57.0
This year Nevada is 2-3 with losses to FCS Incarnate Word at home and losses on the road to Iowa and Air Force. Their wins came against Texas State 38-14 and New Mexico State 23-12. Again, Colorado State has not won a game this year. They are 0-4 with losses to; Michigan, Middle Tennessee, Washington State and FCS Sacramento State.
First Games of 2022
Averages Score Allow Pt Diff Totals
Nevada 24.4 31.2 -6.8 55.6
Colorado State 10.7 41.0 -30.0 51.7
How bad is Colorado State? Just as bad as Nevada! There are a total of 254 (FCS & FBS) teams and Colorado State is ranked 247th overall in offense, 187th in passing and 37th in rushing. Nevada is not much better, ranked 230th overall, 222nd in passing and 116th in rushing. In overall defense Colorado State is ranked 181st and Nevada is ranked 188th.
It really comes down to QB’s do you want to go with Freshman QB for Colorado State (ranked 186th) OR Senior QB with Nevada (Ranked 227th)
NCAA Rankings Tot Off Pass Run Defense
Nevada 230 74 116 188
Colorado State 247 187 37 181
TAKE: OVER 45.5
UNLV at San José State
San José State -5.5 / -210 / 51.5
For the second consecutive Saturday, the San Jose State (SJST) football team WON! SJST won by resounding 33-16 road win at Wyoming (3-3, 1-1), the Spartans have established themselves as a major threat to replicate their 2020 feat of becoming Mountain West Conference champions. From a statistical perspective the game was dominated by San Jose State. 25 first downs to 10, a 456 to 253 yard advantage and a huge time of possession edge tell much of the story. Lastly, only two short missed field goals prevented a wider margin of victory. QB Cordeiro had a monster night running the offense, completing 21-37 for 314 yards and a touchdown, and adding 45 yards and two touchdowns on the ground. What’s becoming apparent is that the receiving core is virtually impossible to cover, there are simply too many weapons. Elijah Cooks was the leader of the pack against the Cowboys with 8 grabs for 177 yards. Running back Kairee Robinson enjoyed the first 100 yard game of his career and scored an early third quarter touchdown to give San Jose State a 26-10 lead. San Jose’s only loss was to Auburn on the road in week two 24-16. San Jose’s defense was on point during this game. Auburn lost the turnover battle in the game, Auburn threw two interceptions. QB Robby Ashford and QB Finley each threw one. The pick by Finley was his third of the season and led to the Spartans’ first field goal of the game. It could have been even worse for Auburn as Damari Alston, Keionte Scott and Robby Ashford each fumbled the ball but were able to recover the football.
Since 2019 San Jose State (SJST) is 10-5 at home vs FBS teams and since 2018 SJST is 3-1 (Home and Road) vs UNLV. Most importantly, SJST has NEVER lost to UNLV at Home. UNLV is 4-12 on the road vs FBS teams since 2019
Since 2019 vs FBS Score Allow Pt Diff Totals
SJST (Home) 26 22 4+ 48
UNLV (Road) 22 34 -12 55
Since 2019 against “same” competition (Air Force, Fresno State, New Mexico, San Diego State, Utah State)
Score Allow Pt Diff Totals
SJST (Home) 22 22 0 44
UNLV (Road) 23 36 13 59
NCAA Rankings Tot Off Pass Run Defense
San Jose State 149 253 157 41
UNLV 81 83 211 105
TAKE: SJST -5 TAKE: UNDER 51.5
Nebraska at Rutgers
Nebraska -3 / -150 / 50.5
Rutgers is 0-4 against Nebraska overall since 2014. The last time Nebraska played at Rutgers was 2020 and they won 28-21. Now for even more bad news, Rutgers is 0-19 at home vs Big Ten Teams. Nebraska is not much better than Rutgers they are 4-14 on the road vs Big Ten Competition.
score allow Pt Diff totals
Rutgers Home vs Big Ten 14 36 -22 51
Nebraska Road vs Big Ten 25 31 -6 56
The Cornhuskers were so desperate to get rid of Scott Frost, they paid him an extra $7.5 million so they didn’t have to wait a couple weeks for his buyout to decrease. Now they are playing under interim coach Mickey Joseph as a national search begins for someone capable of restoring this program to its former glory. Nebraska has RB Anthony Grant who is Ranked 6th in the nation in rushing. 600 rush yards, 120 per game and 5.2 per carry. QB Casey Thompson is ranked 50th overall, 1265 yards passing, 253 yards per game and 66% completion percentage.
This is the first true must-win game of Greg Schiano’s second go-around in Piscataway, because a loss will almost guarantee that his program takes a step back in the third year of this rebuild. Rutgers has no RB as a top rusher in the TOP 250 in the nation. At QB they have Evan Simon ranked 196th, 640 yards passing, 128 per game and a 60% completion percentage
NCAA Rankings Tot Off Pass Rush Team Defense
NEBRASKA 64 74 109 233
RUTGERS 182 215 153 27
TAKE: Nebraska -3