Belmont Beth Best Selections

Race 1 $55,000 Maiden Claiming 5.5F Dirt 1:05 PM ET

Saratoga has had 35 5.5F races. Irad Ortiz leads with 6-wins then Rosario and Castellano with 5-wins that’s 16 wins OR 45% of all 5.5F wins from these three. Furthermore, there has been nine 5.5F races on Dirt and 8 of the 9 races were won by 3-1 to 8-1 Morning line starters only one race was won by a 9-5 ML. As for trainers, the leaders on Dirt are Todd Pletcher 9 wins, Chad Brown and Asmussen with 6 wins. Looks like

TAKE: #3 Acqua Bella with Irad Ortiz and Trainer Pletcher for the win. 3-1-4-2

Race 4 $46,000 Claiming 8F Dirt 2:49 PM ET

Another 8F race. You know two races blow up to kill the early pick-5 and I’m sure this is one of them. There has been 33 claiming races and the leading jockey is Saez (6) Santana and Irad Ortiz with (4) and Castellano and Franco with (3). TAKE: #1 Voice of Spring with Manny Franco AND #6 Alpine Queen with Irad Ortiz. 1-6-7-2

Race 6 $88,000 Maiden Special Weight 8.5F Turf

We will really break down this race. There have been 67 races on turf, the overall jockey leaders are; Irad Ortiz (11) Rosario (10), Castellano (9), Jose Ortiz and Saez with (7) that’s 66% of all wins. First, there has never been a ML FAV to win a Maiden on turf at 8.5F! out of 10 races, 6 races won have been between 6-1 to 15-1 ML, the 4- other races won where 9-2 ML, ARE YOU READY FOR THE BOMB? This is a distance race at 8.5F Turf and there have been 25-of these races. The leading Jockeys are: Saez and Jose Ortiz with 4-wins each that’s 8 wins out of 25 races which is about 33%. However, there have been only 10-maiden races at 8.5F AND 3 of the 4 wins from Jose are at Maiden! AND only one (1) race out of 3 coming from Saez. Bottom line for 8.5F Maiden turf races - that’s 40% of the wins come from these two jockeys. Overall trainer wins JUST on turf, the leaders are Chad Brown (9), Christophe Clement (8) Michael Maker (6) then its Thomas Morley, Todd Pletcher and William Mott, all with (3). Here is where it gets interesting. As for Trainer wins: we have had 25 turf races at 8.5F with 15 trainers getting wins! It’s Michael Maker (6), David Donk (3) Chad Brown (2) that’s a total of 11 races won by these three(3) trainers or 45%. Also, be on the lookout for these owners at 8.5F Turf: Three Diamond Farms, Micheal Dubb, and Paradise Farms they all have two wins. TAKE: #8 New York Panther with Jose Ortiz, Trainer Pletcher. And Owner M. Dubb ALSO since no ML FAV has won, go with #3 Provision with Saez, Trainer Weaver. 8-3-5-1

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