DAY 27 NCAA Basketball Saturday (12/3)
I love a good win streak. Let's make some early money!
Game Time 12:00 noon (est)
S.C. STATE AT FURMAN
Furman S.C. State
FG % 48.7 39.4
3PT % 34.2 28.5
FT % 72.4 56.9
The above stats tell the whole story, unfortunately it only gets worse for South Carolina State!
This game could get ugly fast! The last time South Carolina State played on Furman’s home court was December 21, 2020, and Furman won 118-51. How bad was it? I heard the coach saying, our team is so poor we had to buy shoes from a drug dealer, I don’t know what he laced them with, but our team was tripping the entire game! Last season South Carolina State went 4-4 on the road and in the game against The Citadel they scored 74 points. This was a first, SC State has NEVER scored above 70 points in a conference game! If we adjust for that score and remove it, SC States scores on average 64, allows 65, with totals of 129. It sounds like they have a tough defense, NO! The conference teams they played were Howard, Morgan State, Coppin State, Delaware State and Maryland ES. SC State has played better teams and here are the averages: This season against ECU, WKU, Wake, UK and South Carolina they scored on average 70 points allowed 90 with totals of 160.
Going back to January 2, 2021, Furman at home against D1 competition is 21-3 with the three losses coming from Chattanooga 58-64, UNC Greensboro 56-58, and Navy 66-77. The adjusted average for scoring at home is 76.5, Furman allows 65.5 and the totals average 142. The average margin of victory at home is 14.1 points. Last thought Furman beat The Citadel February 24, 2021, at home 72-63 and SC State beat them also December 21, 2021, 74-57 on the road
The line in this game is -26 and O/U 148.5 and Friday night the O/U was 150. Furman has four wins beating D1 teams by 26-points or more, they beat Citadel 94-59, Samford 81-49, Western Carolina 88-50 and Mercer on the road 80-50. Last year Furman beat Wofford 75-50 (by 25). If you think Furman is equal or better than UK or Wake Forrest, then take the -26. I you think Furman is on the level of Western Kentucky (they beat SC State by 26-points November 26th) then take +26 SC State.
BEST BET: UNDER 150
FINAL FURMAN 88 - SC STATE 76 (164)